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Financial Services Department
Bluewater District School Board Enrolment Projections
 
Enrolment projections are an important planning tool to assist in long range planning and developing action plans related to resource allocation and system capacity.  Enrolment projections are required to update the Ministry through the School Facility Inventory System (SFIS) on a periodic basis.  The enrolment projections were first updated to the SFIS system in 2004 and then the projections were realigned in 2007-08 to reflect the actual enrolment trends.  Actual enrolment in 2009-10 was 17,451 down 6,803 students from 1998-99.

A request for proposal was issued by Bluewater DSB for a new enrolment study in the spring of 2010.  The Ammendolia Group Ltd. was selected based on qualifications and experience.  The Ammendolia Group has recently performed studies for 11 school boards in Ontario.  They are familiar with population demographics similar to Grey and Bruce having worked with Avon Maitland, Wellington CDSB, Upper Grand, Limestone, Kawartha Pine Ridge and Peterborough Victoria CDS school boards.  This experience gives the Ammendolia Group an understanding of issues related to population and housing trends that contribute to future enrolment.  The study was performed in conjunction with the Bruce Grey Catholic School Board to ensure the results reflected the sharing of students in Grey and Bruce.

The results are a 15 year estimate of enrolment by school based on the current inventory of facilities.  The results use a combination of enrolment ratios and grade transition.  Enrolment ratios predicate the number of students that can be expected to enter the school system based on census data, housing growth, population demographics and distribution between schools.  The students are then tracked through the grade structure. The results are provided in a report and data format for use by the Board and uploading to the Ministry SFIS system.

To view the Ammendolia Group Ltd. Credentials, click here.

To view the Enrolment Projections Presentation made to the Hanover/Chesley and Kincardine/Port Elgin Accommodation Review Committees on March 10, 2011, click here.
  
To view the detailed report, click here.

                                                                                                

                                                        
                                                Image of student enrolment projections graph



















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